In February, three media agencies (GroupM, Madison and dentsu) released the Adex numbers for 2023 and the forecast for 2024. All three agencies have predicted the Indian ad industry to grow between 9-12%, with adex ranging from Rs 1 lakh crore to Rs 1.5 lakh crore.
While there is no standardised scientific methodology to gauge the exact adex size, these reports are created to give an idea of the Indian adex market.
Different reports by agencies are just the extrapolation of the market intelligence they gather by talking to different platforms along with their own estimates and hence they have such large variations in their figures.
Below are the overall Indian adex figures for 2023 and forecast numbers for 2024:
Overall adex (Rs crore) |
2023 |
2024 (F) |
2024 Growth rate |
Madison |
99,100 |
1,11,000 |
12% |
GroupM |
1,41,000 |
1,55,386 |
10.2% |
dentsu |
93,200 |
1,01,591 |
9% |
A prominent media planner expressed scepticism about the accuracy of total ad expenditure figures, citing the inherent extrapolation involved. However, the planner said that the only similarity in the three reports is the base number, which exceeds Rs 1,00,00 crore for 2024.
This variance, the planner explained, stems from the broader involvement of smaller agencies and direct dealings in print and digital ad buying, which major reports struggle to adequately capture.
Digital:
Digital (Rs crore) |
2023 |
2024 (F) |
2024 Growth rate |
Madison |
39,714 |
46,466 |
17% |
GroupM |
78,320 |
88,502 |
13% |
dentsu |
40,685 |
50,857 |
25% |
The biggest difference is seen in the digital index where GroupM’s numbers are about double that of Madison. However, Madison’s estimates about digital adex are close to dentsu.
TV
Print (Rs crore) |
2023 |
2024 (F) |
2024 Growth rate |
Madison |
32886 |
35190 |
7% |
GroupM |
42270 |
45226 |
7% |
The estimates for TV advertising spends from the two agencies differ by a whopping Rs 10,000 crore. However, Madison and GroupM have kept the growth rate the same at 7%.
Print:
Print (Rs crore) |
2023 |
2024 (F) |
2024 Growth rate |
Madison |
19,250 |
20,020 |
4% |
GroupM |
14,633 |
15,350 |
4.9% |
Unlike TV, Madison print numbers exceed GroupM by Rs 5,000 crore.