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ABP News – Nielsen Exit Poll for Delhi and Madhya Pradesh

BJP government predicted in both the states

December 4, 2013:

kbmBJP likely to win with full majority with 37 seats in Delhi Assembly polls: ABP News-Nielsen exit poll.

In the ABP News-Neilson Exit Poll for the 2013 Delhi Assembly elections, polling for which ended today, BJP set to win with full majority with 37 seats and a vote share of 33 per cent in the 70-member house. The exit poll suggests a tie between Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP and Congress with around 18 seats each and a vote share of 28 per cent.

The poll shows BJP getting a clear majority with 37 seats. In the 2008 Assembly polls, BJP had managed 24 seats. BJP got a vote share of 36.76 per cent in the 2008 polls as compared to the 33 per cent this year. Kejriwal’s AAP appears to have dented the vote share of Congress which got 41 seats in 2008 with a vote share of 40.46 per cent as compared to 29 per cent in 2013.

The ABP News-Neilson Exit poll was conducted across 50 Assembly constituencies and 12033 respondents were interviewed.

The confidence interval (margin of error) assumed for vote share prediction lies in the ranges of ±5%.

Party Actual vote % in the 2008 assembly elections Actual seats in the 2008 assembly elections Vote Share% as per the Opinion poll in Nov '13 Seats as per the Exit poll in Nov '13
INC 40.46 41 29 16
BJP 36.76 24 33 37
AAP 28 15
IND & Others 22.78 5 10 2
Total 100 70 100 70

Madhya Pradesh:

BJP likely to make a hat-trick with 138 seats in Madhya Pradesh: ABP News-Nielsen Exit Polls.

Party Actual vote % in the 2008 assembly elections Actual seats in the 2008 assembly elections Vote Share% as per the Exit/post poll in Nov '13 Seats as per the Exit/post poll in Nov '13
INC 32.1 66 33 80
BJP 37.9 148 39 138
BSP 9.1 7 9 6
BJSH 4.9 5
IND + Others 16.1 4 19 6
Total 100 230 100 230

In the ABP News-Neilson Exit Poll for the 2013 Madhya Pradesh Assembly elections, polling for which ended today, BJP set to make a hat-trick with 138 seats and a vote share of 39 per cent in Madhya Pradesh.

As per the ABP News-Nielsen exit poll, Congress is likely to get 80 seats with a vote share of 33 per cent in the 230-member house. BSP to get around 6 seats with a vote share of 9 per cent. Others to get a vote share of 19 per cent with 6 seats in the 230-member house.

BJP got 148 seats and a vote share of 37.9 per cent in the 2008 assembly polls in Madhya Pradesh. INC got 66 seats with a vote share of 32.1 per cent in 2008.

The ABP News-Neilson Exit poll was conducted across 115 Assembly constituencies and 26808 respondents were interviewed.

The confidence interval (margin of error) assumed for vote share prediction lies in the ranges of ±5%.

Kaun Banega Mukhyamantri is one of the most popular properties of ABP News which goes live around State assembly elections. Successive Brand Equity tracks have shown that KBM has the highest recall among all election related programming across all News channels. The programme provides viewers with holistic information about the state elections- including Opinion Polls and Exit Polls.

The programme also features popular on-ground debates – Kahiye Netaji – featuring top political personalities.

PR@BestMediaInfo.com

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