Best Media Info

Editor’s Picks
Special
Interviews
Events

ABP News Opinion Poll: BJP ahead of ruling Congress in Himachal, likely to get 39-45 seats

The pre-election survey conducted by ABP News-Lokniti-CSDS gives 22-28 seats to ruling Congress

Himachal Pradesh is all set to follow its trend of changing the Government every five years. After five years of rule Congress CM Virbhadra Singh is likely to be ousted by arch rival BJP as predicted by the Pre-election Survey conducted by ABP News-Lokniti-CSDS.

Despite controversies over GST and demonetization, BJP is ahead of ruling Congress at the moment in Himachal Pradesh. According to the survey, BJP is likely to get 39-45 seats out of total 68 in Himachal Pradesh Assembly Elections. Ruling Congress is predicted to get around 22-28 seats.

 

 

Seats expected in Assembly Polls

Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)

39-45

Congress (Cong)

22-28

Others

0-3

BJP is likely to get support of 47 per cent voters leaving Congress behind with 41 per cent votes.

Himachal Pradesh voters’ voting intention two weeks before the November 9 assembly elections

 

Voting intention in fourth week

of October 2017 (%)

Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)

47

Congress (Cong)

41

Others

12

Significantly, Prem Kumar Dhumal emerged as the top choice of all respondents for the post of chief minister (31 percent) in the survey, edging out the current and six-time chief minister Virbhadra Singh by two percentage points. It could be safely argued that both Dhumal and Singh continue to be Himachal’s tallest leaders.

BJP’s Dhumal is the most preferred choice for CM followed closely by Virbhadra Singh

 

Chief Minister Choice (%)

Prem Kumar Dhumal (BJP)

31

Virbhadra Singh (Cong)

29

Sukhwinder Sukhu (Cong)

7

J P Nadda (BJP)

5

Anurag Thakur (BJP)

4

Vikramaditya Singh (Cong)

2

Vidya Stokes (Cong)

1

Other names

1

Did not take any name

20

About 63 per cent respondents who traditionally vote for BJP feel that the party should have named their CM candidate.

Two-thirds of traditional BJP voters of the opinion that the party should have declared a CM candidate

 

BJP should declare a CM candidate (%)

BJP should not declare a CM candidate (%)

No opinion

(%)

Overall

47

19

34

Traditional BJP voters

63

15

22

Most voters in the survey saw GST as being kharab or bad decisions taken by the Narendra Modi government than achchhe or good. The other close issue at 12 per cent was poverty or gap between rich and poor. Unemployment stands at 9%, corruption and safety for women a close at 8% each.

GST is second most important election issue for voters

 

Most important election issue (%)

Poverty/gap between rich and poor

12

Goods and Services Tax (GST)

11

Unemployment

9

Corruption

8

Safety of women

8

Development and growth

6

Not only did more voters see GST as a bad move than good (46 percent to 19 percent), a plurality (49 percent), including many BJP voters, also said they were dissatisfied with the recent concessions announced by the government with respect to GST.

Most people dissatisfied with recent GST concessions announced by Modi government particularly those who view GST as a bad or average move

 

Satisfied with

recent GST

concessions by

Modi govt. (%)

Dissatisfied with

recent GST

concessions by

Modi govt. (%)

No response (%)

Overall

27

49

24

Voters who feel GST was a so-so move

21

76

12

Voters who feel GST was a bad move

12

36

43

According to the survey a majority (57 percent) were also of the opinion that Modi had failed to bring the Achchhe Din or good days that he had promised.

Majority, including BJP voters, of opinion that Modi has failed to fulfill his Achchhe Din promise

 

“Modi has failed to bring Achchhe Din”

Strongly

agree

(%)

Somewhat

agree

(%)

Somewhat disagree

(%)

Strongly disagree

 (%)

Overall

28

29

20

13

BJP voters

21

30

23

19

The pre-election survey was conducted in Himachal Pradesh by Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi, for ABP News. The survey was conducted from October 21 through October 27, 2017 among 2,815 voters in 115 locations (polling stations) spread across 30 assembly constituencies.

Info@BestMediaInfo.com

Post a Comment