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ABP News releases results of ‘Mood of the Nation’ survey

The survey conducted by Lokniti – CSDS reveals that Modi magic would get NDA 39% votes today

The Mood of the Nation Survey conducted by ABP News- Lokniti- CSDS has found that in the event of Lok Sabha elections taking place today, Narendra Modi led NDA would secure another convincing victory, with up to 331 seats and 45% vote share. ‘Mood of the Nation’ is an annual survey conducted by ABP News in association with Lokniti and CSDS.

The Mood of the Nation Survey was conducted for ABP News by Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi between May 1 and May 15, 2017 among 11,373 respondents spread across 19 States of India - Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Delhi, Gujarat, Haryana, Jharkhand, Karnataka, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Punjab, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Uttar Pradesh, and West Bengal. The survey was conducted at 584 locations in 146 Parliamentary Constituencies (ACs).

Avinash Pandey, COO, ABP News Network, said, “At, ABP News Network, we have consistently been investing in researches that gauge the mood of the nation. This concept is quite new to Indian News reporting and has been done only by us on Indian television. We have constantly evolved over the years to provide our viewers with the best news analysis, hence living by our philosophy of keeping them ahead..”

Interestingly, UPA has improved its standing amongst voters; it’s still a long way off from challenging the current government.

 According to the ‘Mood of the Nation’ Survey, NDA is likely to get around 331 seats, a marginal loss of 4 seats from the 2014 polls. UPA is predicted to get about 104 seats, with a gain of 44 seats, while others in the fray set to claim 108 seats, a deficit of 40 seats.

Some of the Key highlights of the survey are:

Modi magic continues, likely to get 39 per cent vote share if polls were held today; according to the annual ABP News-Lokniti CSDS ‘Mood of the Nation’ Survey 

Achhe Din are here, say 63% of the respondents.

BJP to lose some seats in North India, but significant gains in Eastern part of the country would result in the same majority as in the 2014 Lok Sabha Elections.

Narendra Modi remains unchallenged for the top job.

Unemployment remains the top concern of voters.

Survey says Rahul Gandhi should lead Congress in the 2019 LS Elections.

Seat prediction based on Lokniti-CSDS-ABP News ‘Mood Of The Nation Survey 2017’

 

NDA

UPA

Others

ALL INDIA

331

104

108

North India (151 PCs)

116

15

20

South India (132 PCs)

39

52

41

East India (142 PCs)

71

25

46

West and Central India (118 PCs)

105

12

1

Coming to vote share by party, the Survey found the BJP to be the choice of 39% voters. This is 8% greater than the vote share secured by the party in the Lok Sabha elections three years ago. The BJP’s allies are expected to get 6% votes, taking the ruling alliance’s vote share to about 45 percent.

The Indian National Congress (Congress) which slumped to its worst ever electoral performance in the 2014 polls, continues to be in dire straits in terms of popularity. 

Survey-based Vote estimate if Lok Sabha elections take place now

 

May 2014

Actual

(%)

May 2017

Survey-based estimate

(%)

BJP

31

39

BJP allies

7*

6

BJP+/NDA

38

45

Congress

19

21

Congress allies

7*

6

Cong+/UPA

26

27

BSP

4

3

Left parties

5

3

Others

27

22

According to the survey, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has succeeded in bringing ‘Acche Din’ for an overwhelming 63 per cent of those surveyed. 

Achhe Din seem to have arrived for three in five voters

Narendra Modi has…

%

Succeeded in bringing Achhe Din

63

Failed in bringing Achhe Din

27

No response

10

 

 

‘Acche Din’ seems to resonate with all the communities surveyed. While 66% of the Hindu community polled positively towards the message, the Muslim community polled a mixed response. While 43% feel ‘Acche Din’ have arrived, a little over 45% disagree. Majority of Christians and Sikhs with 51 per cent and 54 per cent respectively feel ‘Acche Din’ are here.

Minority communities not as enthusiastic as Hindus on the question of Achhe Din

 

Modi has succeeded* in bringing Acche Din

(%)

Modi has failed* in bringing Acche Din (%)

No

response

Hindus

66

24

10

Muslims

43

45

12

Christians

51

37

12

Sikhs

54

38

8

 

A vast plurality of India’s voters, 25%, believes that unemployment is the single biggest problem in the country today. Poverty, at 16%, corruption at 13%, price rise and lack of development at 8% and black money at 2% make up the top 5 issues in the list.

For a plurality of voters unemployment is the biggest problem in the country today

 

Country’s biggest problem

(%)

Unemployment

25

Poverty

16

Corruption

13

Price rise

8

Lack of development, basic amenities

8

Black money

2

Other issues

16

No response

12

Three years into office, Modi has cemented his position as the tallest leader in contemporary India. None of Modi’s opponents come anywhere close to him at 44%, their popularity being limited to single digits. The survey found the Prime Minister’s nearest rival, Congress Vice-President Rahul Gandhi polled a lowly 9% amongst respondents who expressed a spontaneous preference for Gandhi as prime minister. This is a decline of 4% points since the last election.

People’s Prime Minister Preference if Lok Sabha elections take place now

 

%

Narendra Modi

44

Rahul Gandhi

9

Sonia Gandhi

3

Mayawati

3

Nitish Kumar

2

Manmohan Singh

2

Akhilesh Yadav

2

Mamata Banerjee

1

Other leaders

10

No response

24

The Mood of the Nation survey found that 25% respondents feel Rahul Gandhi should lead Congress into next elections. About 10% favour Sonia Gandhi, whereas only 6% for Priyanka Gandhi.

 On being asked who should lead Cong into next election, only one in 4 said Rahul Gandhi:

 

Rahul Gandhi

Sonia Gandhi

Priyanka Gandhi

Manmohan Singh

Other

Can’t say

All voters

25

10

6

3

6

50

Congress voters

39

14

7

4

9

27

Traditional Cong voters who voted for BJP in 2014

26

13

10

4

16

31

 

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